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The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 8:48 am
by john@staustell
Now that the team have shown something none of us actually believed they could do, I reckon some of those points predictions last week for our remaining games were a bit pessimistic. I even thought so at the time. Another point worth noting is that after we've been to Fulham, we will have 3 away games remaining and SIX home games (inc Spuds and Scouse 2). So after any away disasters in the meantime we should take this into account.
I'm still very confident we can pull through into 4th. It looks tight now but I believe the other 3 clubs will 'slip up' far more than us.
Sunderland A Win
Fulham A Draw
Wigan H Win
Burnley A Win
Brum H Win
Scum H Win
Arsenal A Loss (but who can be sure now eh?)
Villa H Draw
West Ham A Win (cos it's the last day and they'll be safe)
Spuds H Win
Scouse 2 H Win
26 taking us to 75, and I reckon even with a couple more draws sneaked in we should do it.
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 9:33 am
by BlueinBosnia
Sunderland A Win
Fulham A Lose
Wigan H Win
Burnley A Draw
Brum H Draw
Scum H Win
Arsenal A Win
Villa H Draw
West Ham A Draw
Spuds H Draw
Scouse 2 H Draw
18, taking us to 67. 4th place will go down to goal difference.
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 9:50 am
by Lev Bronstein
Maximum points
Chelsea 91
Scum 90
Arse 88
Spuds 79
CITY 82
Scouse 78
Villa 81
Of course teams have to play each other
Chelsea: Villa (H), Scum (A), Spuds (A), Scouse (A). Lets say they get a home win and three away draws.
Scum: Scouse (H), Chelsea (H), CITY (A), Spuds (H). Let's say two home draws, home win against Spuds, WE WIN (Cmon CITY)
Arse: Spuds (A), CITY (H) Lets say they beat Spuds and we get a draw.
Spuds: Arse (H), Chelsea (H), Scum (A) CITY (A), I'll give them a draw against Chelsea
CITY: Scum (H), Villa (H), Arse (A), Spuds (H) A draw against Arse win the rest.
Scouse: Scum (a), Chelsea (H), Two draws.
Villa: Chelsea (A), CITY (A) Nothing there.
A couple of assumptions: first, I've not missed any fixtures, and second all the "lower" teams get beat (dodgy I know, but let's go with it)
Now the new, revised maximum points
Chelsea 85
Scum 83
Arse 86
Spuds 68
CITY 80
Scouse 74
Villa 75
So, do the business and we'll get fourth with ease. If any of the top 3 slip up against, say Birmingham or one of those fighting a relegation battle, then we could go higher.
Our fate is very much in our hands.
To those who say I'm being a ridiculously optimistic dreamer who has lost a grip on reality. Be honest, what do you think has kept me supporting City over the last few decades?
Oh and..
Alan Green is a knob
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 10:06 am
by Fish111
Sunderland A Win
Fulham A Lose
Wigan H Draw
Burnley A Win
Brum H Draw
Scum H Lose
Arsenal A Draw
Villa H Draw
West Ham A Win
Spuds H Lose
Scouse 2 H Win
taking us to 65 and i just pray that Liverpool & spurs fuck up big time.
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 11:23 am
by Alioune DVToure
Fish111 wrote:Sunderland A Win
Fulham A Lose
Wigan H Draw
Burnley A Win
Brum H Draw
Scum H Lose
Arsenal A Draw
Villa H Draw
West Ham A Win
Spuds H Lose
Scouse 2 H Win
taking us to 65 and i just pray that Liverpool & spurs fuck up big time.
I think a minimum of 11 points from those next five games is essential if we're going to stay in the hunt. It doesn't matter where and when we get those points as we're not in direct competition with any of those five teams. This give us an unmissable opportunity to build up a good head of steam before the toughies.
I thought this was the "optimistic" thread. You've got us down as winning 16 points from the remaining 11 games at an average of 1.45 points per game. So far this season we've picked up an average of 1.81 points per game. What makes you think we'll tail off so badly having just won the hardest fixture of this or any other Premier League season? Pessimist!
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 11:36 am
by Alex Sapphire
we keep forgetting Everton don't we?
The Chelsea game was the first of 8 we have to play against other top ten sides.
Plus we have to play 2 sides that we could only draw with earlier in the season and 2 we beat, but we beat at home.
It's a difficult run in for sure, and you could argue that there's a load of potential draws. I guess that's what we're looking to mancio to change.
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 12:09 pm
by john@staustell
I fancy the Mancini style will do for our old bogey team, Spuds. We should be able to bore them to death whilst striking against their piss poor defence with our counter-attacks. That is one game where I think the Les-style all-attack would've seen us wide open to them, but now I think we'll do them at home.
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 12:47 pm
by btajim
Sunderland Away - Draw
Fulham Away - Draw
Wigan Home - Win
Burnley Away - Win
Brum Home - Win
Scum Home - Draw
Arsenal Away - Lose
Villa Home - Draw
West Ham Away - Win
TBC: Everton Home - Draw
Only one loss in 10 Matches? Optimism.
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 1:03 pm
by john@staustell
btajim wrote:Sunderland Away - Draw
Fulham Away - Draw
Wigan Home - Win
Burnley Away - Win
Brum Home - Win
Scum Home - Draw
Arsenal Away - Lose
Villa Home - Draw
West Ham Away - Win
TBC: Everton Home - Draw
Only one loss in 10 Matches? Optimism.
Lots of draws? Pessimism. :) You forgot Spuds.
I may look foolish in 2 weeks but I cant see beyond a win at Sunderland.
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 3:02 pm
by rick1894citizen
Sunderland A Win
Fulham A Lose
Wigan H Win
Burnley A Draw
Brum H Win
Scum H Win
Arsenal A Lose
Villa H Win
West Ham A Win
Spuds H Win
Scouse 2 H Win
25 taking us to 74, anyones guess whether it'll be enough but think the face we'll take 3 pts of Villa and Spuds should see us through.
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 5:42 pm
by Colin the King
Fulham away these days is a really difficult game, and since Hodgson's come in they've done well against us. But look at their run of games before facing us- Spurs at home, Juventus away, Rags away, Juventus at home and then us only three days after. In contrast, we only have to play Sunderland between now and then and obviously their squad is a lot smaller.
I'm cautiously optimistic but really feel there's maximum points there for us in March and early April. The end of the season is a very tough one and that's when our character will be severely tested. The next five games, under the circumstances, we should be winning, no questions asked, if we're serious about that top four finish.
Sunderland- Win
Fulham- Win
Wigan- Win
Burnley- Win
Birmingham- Win
Rags- Lose
Arsenal- Lose
Villa- Win
West Ham- Draw
Everton- Win
Spurs- Draw
That's 23 points to leave us with a finish of 72. Should be enough for 4th place.
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 5:50 pm
by CityFanFromRome
Sunderland- Win
Fulham- Win
Wigan- Win
Burnley- Win
Birmingham- Win
Rags- Win
Arsenal- Draw
Villa- Win
West Ham- Win
Everton- Win
Spurs- Win
No losses from here to the end of the season, all wins besides a draw at Emirates. You said you wanted to be optimistic, after all.
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 6:28 pm
by btajim
john@staustell wrote:btajim wrote:Sunderland Away - Draw
Fulham Away - Draw
Wigan Home - Win
Burnley Away - Win
Brum Home - Win
Scum Home - Draw
Arsenal Away - Lose
Villa Home - Draw
West Ham Away - Win
TBC: Everton Home - Draw
Only one loss in 10 Matches? Optimism.
Lots of draws? Pessimism. :) You forgot Spuds.
I may look foolish in 2 weeks but I cant see beyond a win at Sunderland.
Tottenham Home? Draw!
Meh. 6 draws yet 4 wins and only 1 Loss. 18 points.
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 6:46 pm
by CITYSTEVEDON
Sunderland A Win
Fulham A Draw
Wigan H Win
Burnley A Win
Brum H Win
Scum H Win
Arsenal A draw
Villa H win
West Ham A draw
Spuds H Win
Scouse 2 H draw
thats 26pts on top of what we have now = 75pts [ hopefully ] oh ive had a few cans lol
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 7:46 pm
by Grob
62 points and 6th place and Mancini in the dole queue.
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 8:00 pm
by saulman
Grob wrote:62 points and 6th place and Mancini in the dole queue.
That's your optimistic view?
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 8:53 pm
by Grob
saulman wrote:Grob wrote:62 points and 6th place and Mancini in the dole queue.
That's your optimistic view?
That was my view last week and im sticking to it this week.
Hope im wrong but im reasonably confident im in the right ballpark
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 9:34 pm
by gillie
Grob wrote:saulman wrote:Grob wrote:62 points and 6th place and Mancini in the dole queue.
That's your optimistic view?
That was my view last week and im sticking to it this week.
Hope im wrong but im reasonably confident im in the right ballpark
Grob i know you know your football mate but you really think we will drop 20 points between now and the end of the season?.
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 9:41 pm
by Grob
gillie wrote:Grob wrote:saulman wrote:Grob wrote:62 points and 6th place and Mancini in the dole queue.
That's your optimistic view?
That was my view last week and im sticking to it this week.
Hope im wrong but im reasonably confident im in the right ballpark
Grob i know you know your football mate but you really think we will drop 20 points between now and the end of the season?.
Im reckoning 2 wins, 7 draws, and 2 defeats. I think we will see alot of draws. just my opinion.
Re: The new 'optimistic' points prediction thread!

Posted:
Mon Mar 01, 2010 9:50 pm
by gillie
Grob wrote:gillie wrote:Grob wrote:saulman wrote:Grob wrote:62 points and 6th place and Mancini in the dole queue.
That's your optimistic view?
That was my view last week and im sticking to it this week.
Hope im wrong but im reasonably confident im in the right ballpark
Grob i know you know your football mate but you really think we will drop 20 points between now and the end of the season?.
Im reckoning 2 wins, 7 draws, and 2 defeats. I think we will see alot of draws. just my opinion.
Fair enough mate.My opinnion is we will get at least 20pts and just scrape 4th.