Original Dub wrote:We were all conservative about our chances of making top four this season at the beginning of the season. That changed someway into it, when it became clear Liverpool were in turmoil.
Au contraire Dubbers.
So far under Mancini we've played 16 games and gained 33 points. This averages him 2.0625 points per game.
Goal difference wise under Mancini we've scored 36 goals in 16 games (2.25 goals a game average) and we've conceded 14 goals in the same 16 games as well (0.875 goals a game conceded).
Therefore in 16 games our goal difference is +22.
Over the course of a season:
Points - 33 points divided by 16 games x 38 games = 78.375 points
Goal difference - +22GD divided by 16 games x 38 games = +52.25 goal difference
Since 4th spot enabled Champions League in 2001-02 season here's the number of points needed for 4th spot:
72 - 2008-09
76 - 2007-08
68 - 2006-07
67 - 2005-06
61 - 2004-05
60 - 2003-04
67 - 2002-03
71 - 2001-02
Based on what Mancini has brought so far in his 16 games over the course of a season pro rata he would provide us with Champions League football every time.
"Like all bullies, they've just found out that there is a much bigger guy in town, someone who is richer and more powerful than their worst nightmare. And this smiling Arabic assassin is intent on stealing all the treasures they've nicked off everyone else, and pulverising them into commercial and footballing oblivion as he does so."
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