Four matches in and it's neck and neck. In fact, it couldn't be closer. After four 1-1 draws in the first two matchdays in Group D of the Africa Cup of Nations, Ivory Coast, Mali, Cameroon and Guinea all find themselves in the same situation.
That's the same points, same goals scored, same goals conceded. No wins, no losses -- just four draws in the opening two matchdays. At the moment the teams can't be separated: they all deserve to go through and all deserve to go out.
This, of course, means that as they prepare for the final round of group games on Wednesday, it's winner take all. However, the teams themselves may not get to decide who goes through to the knockout stages. If both matches finish 1-1 again, it will be taken out of their hands completely.
Working out the various permutations of various results in cup competitions is not a simple task in any situation, but affairs in Group D have gone beyond the rules that most people are familiar with, meaning you need to delve a little deeper into the CAF regulations to work out how things will progress.
The fact that all teams are on an equal footing makes it a particularly bizarre situation, but the rules according to CAF are as follows:
- Once points are not enough to split the teams, it comes down to head-to-head results.
- After that, it is based on goal difference and then goals scored of the teams
- If teams are still level at the end of the group stages, there is only one option: drawing of lots by the organising committee.
Incredibly, the whole group could be decided via the method of drawing of lots, if the final two group games -- Ivory Coast vs. Cameroon and Mali vs. Guinea -- end up in draws of the same scoreline. Example: if it ended Ivory Coast 2-2 Cameroon and Mali 2-2 Guinea.
However, if one match finishes in a higher draw than the other, then they will only have to endure a drawing of lots to decide who finished top. Example: if it ended Ivory Coast 2-2 Cameroon and Mali 1-1 Guinea, then Ivory Coast and Cameroon would go through on goals scored but lots would be drawn for top spot.
Alternatively, if one match ends up in a draw and the other a positive result for either team, this means that a drawing of lots would be required to decide the team who finishes second. Example: If Ivory Coast beat Cameroon 1-0, and Mali draw 1-1 with Guinea, a drawing of lots between Mali and Guinea would be needed to decide who advances in second behind Ivory Coast.
Finally, if both matches end up in the same, positive result for either team, then a drawing of lots would be required to dictate who finished first and second. Example: If Ivory Coast beat Cameroon 1-0 and Mali beat Guinea 1-0, then a drawing of lots between Ivory Coast and Mali would be needed to decide who finishes top.
This method of selection is possibly one of the most unpleasant ways of dictating the team's future in a competition, but would appear a necessity if the situation dictates it.
http://www.espnfc.us/blog/espn-fc-unite ... lots-looms