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I am trying to figure out how UEFA, in their right state of mind, think they can pull off the next season of Europa League and UCL, with the number of covid cases going up and up.

So, for the preliminary rounds, they need to get teams travel all over in Europe, some even 4-5 times, if they manage to get in the groups from the first round. Add to that that the rules and quarantine reglementations are different from country to country
For example: the season here is Romania is really pending with a shit load of games left, while CFR Cluj has 11 players with corona, and they are playing with the title on the table in the last fixture of the season, while Dinamo, similar conditions, is last and might relegate for the first time in their history. No way they can finish the league before 1st of august when UEFA said they have a deadline.

Looking at how things really are all over Europe, with teams that must play two legs, I don't see how they can get next season to work if there will not be an huge change in this pandemic overnight.

They've already rearranged qualifications to be single-leg ties, and the preliminary round(s) will be played at a neutral venue in Switzerland. However, everything is on a really tight deadline, and there's literally no room for maneuver if the CL and EL are going to finish on time. I'm highly suspicious of it myself, and I think if COVID looks like it's going to lead to cancellations of games, they'll just throw out the weakest/least marketable team in order for the group stages to be played as scheduled.