We will finish 4th...
I just did a little experiment based on current position, using the theory that all wins are 2-1, and clubs current next to each other in the table 1-1 draw. This completely took my opinion and hopes out of the equation and showed that on form over the season so far and with the matches to come we are in line to finish 4th.
1.Manchester United 90
2.Chelsea 86
3.Arsenal 85
4.Manchester City 72
5.Tottenham Hotspur 71
6.Liverpool 69
7.Aston Villa 69
8.Everton 64
9.Birmingham City 56
10.Fulham 51
11.Stoke City 49
12.Sunderland 46
13.Blackburn Rovers 44
14.Wigan Athletic 40
15.Bolton Wanderers 35
16.Wolverhampton Wanderers 32
17.West Ham United 28
18.Burnley 25
19.Hull City 25
20.Portsmouth 13
I realise this makes no difference so before cockheads start criticising it, I simply did this to prove to myself that my belief that we'll finish 4th isnt biased by hope but is mathematically more likely, this shows we certainly have the advantage.