Hysteria - our results in perspective

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Re: Hysteria - our results in perspective

Postby Ted Hughes » Thu Feb 11, 2010 12:47 pm

Original Dub wrote:
Ted Hughes wrote:
BobKowalski wrote:
Sometimes I think City should just stick to British managers ala Hughes or Moyes. We would never win much save the odd cup but at least they 'get stuck in' and 'have a go' and they (usually) pick players in their proper positons :)


Or other british no marks like Ferguson, Clough, Shankley, Mercer. Who wants them when we could have Italian managers who's record of success in this country is second to....oh hang on..


More references to hughes...

Is this Bob fella for real??!

FFS.


If the current performances had happened prior to Mancini he'd criticising every minute detail & saying the exact opposite to what he's saying now. I posted on that vey subject a while back.

We all want City to do well & we all want Mancini to do well but we all (ought to) realise that we need to improve quickly if that's to happen. No point in pretending otherwise in some ridiculous ponts scoring exercise.
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Re: Hysteria - our results in perspective

Postby BobKowalski » Thu Feb 11, 2010 1:20 pm

john@staustell wrote:
BobKowalski wrote:I think untold hysteria is our default position

I do agree but after the Hull game found myself avoiding everything City related, in fact everything football related, for 48 hours afterwards I was that pissed off.

The Bolton game provided much needed solace only to find that I was in a minority of 1 as apparently it was the worse performance ever by a PL team. Luckily the arse v scouse game last night served up two equally dire performances including the sight of Wenger trying out the alien tactic of shutting up shop on the 80 min mark and holding out for the 1-0 win. I keep getting told top teams don't do that sort of thing so I was a bit baffled but I am sure I will catch on eventually.


I've been thinking for a while that every time City play a bit off, or if we win less than 3-0, the commentators at the match - including the 'great' Andy Gray - say how we are poor, this is poor, that is poor, he is poor etc. Yet when we watch rubbish like last night among the 'SKY 4' (which is quite often this season) they just pass it off as an 'oh well' sort of thing. They just never come in for the same criticism for poor play.


Yeah I noticed that but didn't want to come over all paranoid or over sensitive
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Re: Hysteria - our results in perspective

Postby Wooders » Thu Feb 11, 2010 2:46 pm

the fact that other teams are also fucking up merely adds to the frustration when we do it
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Re: Hysteria - our results in perspective

Postby cityPinoy_fc » Thu Feb 11, 2010 3:05 pm

this season has been remarkable as anyone can beat anyone from top to bottom. what is important is not to over react whenever we win or lose keeping calm when things aren't going our way and most important of all support the club. at the end of the day whether where we finish we'll still support city.
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Re: Hysteria - our results in perspective

Postby john68 » Thu Feb 11, 2010 3:48 pm

In the 130 years or so of the Football League these sorts of results were fairly normal and the title race was usually quite open with a number of clubs within range until quite near the end of the season.
It is only since the Premier league and with it the G14 UeFA money that allowed and elite group of clubs to form at the top, winning everything and getting the resultsd on a weekly basis.

Greed and the indebtedness of those elite clubs, plus City's new money and the rise of teams like Villa, Spurs and (watch for them) Everton have closed that gap. So we should not be shocked at some of the results we are seeing. Hopefully it will improve further in future seasons and football will become interesting again.

Unlike other recent years when we had a dominating group of four and results usually going to plan, this season there are about nine clubs shasing and capable on their day of beating anyone...why should we be suprised when this happens?

Recent results
Chelsea...Drew to Hull and lost to Everton.
the rags..Drew to both Brum and Villa.
Arsenal...Lost to the rags and chelsea and drew with Villa and Everton.
Spurs.....Lost to L'Pool and Wolves and drew with Hull, Brum and Villa.
Villa.......Drew with West Ham, Arsenal, Spurs and the rags.
L'Pool.....Lost to Arsenal and drew with Wolves and Stoke.
City.......Lost to Everton and Hull.

Out of the 22 recent games the top clubs have dropped points in, 15 of those games between top 9 (have included Everton). In previous recent seasons, games between the elite club games would have only numbered 6.
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Re: Hysteria - our results in perspective

Postby BobKowalski » Thu Feb 11, 2010 5:58 pm

Ted Hughes wrote:
BobKowalski wrote:
Sometimes I think City should just stick to British managers ala Hughes or Moyes. We would never win much save the odd cup but at least they 'get stuck in' and 'have a go' and they (usually) pick players in their proper positons :)


Or other british no marks like Ferguson, Clough, Shankley, Mercer. Who wants them when we could have Italian managers who's record of success in this country is second to....oh hang on..


Well I would be all for appointing Clough, Shankly or Mercer.

Except that they are dead.

Your turn.
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Re: Hysteria - our results in perspective

Postby Ted Hughes » Thu Feb 11, 2010 6:00 pm

BobKowalski wrote:
Ted Hughes wrote:
BobKowalski wrote:
Sometimes I think City should just stick to British managers ala Hughes or Moyes. We would never win much save the odd cup but at least they 'get stuck in' and 'have a go' and they (usually) pick players in their proper positons :)


Or other british no marks like Ferguson, Clough, Shankley, Mercer. Who wants them when we could have Italian managers who's record of success in this country is second to....oh hang on..


Well I would be all for appointing Clough, Shankly or Mercer.

Except that they are dead.

Your turn.


..and of course they would all have got top jobs if they were around today & not ended up in the 3rd division after being sacked by PL teams & replaced by people with more exotic names.
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Well I heard that the Sheikh... bought Carlos Tevez this week...& you fuckers aint gettin' nothin..
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Re: Hysteria - our results in perspective

Postby BobKowalski » Thu Feb 11, 2010 6:04 pm

Ted Hughes wrote:
BobKowalski wrote:
Ted Hughes wrote:
BobKowalski wrote:
Sometimes I think City should just stick to British managers ala Hughes or Moyes. We would never win much save the odd cup but at least they 'get stuck in' and 'have a go' and they (usually) pick players in their proper positons :)


Or other british no marks like Ferguson, Clough, Shankley, Mercer. Who wants them when we could have Italian managers who's record of success in this country is second to....oh hang on..


Well I would be all for appointing Clough, Shankly or Mercer.

Except that they are dead.

Your turn.


..and of course they would all have got top jobs if they were around today & not ended up in the 3rd division after being sacked by PL teams & replaced by people with more exotic names.


Probably :)

Clough was a genius. Won the title when he was what 36? Clough was probably the greatest manager who ever lived. Would have been the greatest in any era. Mourinho runs him close mind.
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Re: Hysteria - our results in perspective

Postby brite blu sky » Thu Feb 11, 2010 10:03 pm

I decided to do a simple and general statistical analysis of results to see what would happen in the league based on performance so far. I calculated the points per game of the top 5 teams and then applied that to the rest of the games we all have respectively and came up with this.
1 Chelsea 84
2 Rags 83
3 Arsenal 76
4 Man City 70
5 Liverpool 64


Then i made a projection based on a slight improvement in our Away form. ( thats where we know we have to improve if we are to challenge ) ( it also does not take into account any missgivings about Roberto Manicini )

I have all the stats i used for this in detail ( about a page full ) so if anyone wants a look then i can post the lot, but for now here is the conclusion:


If we improved just slightly, and results reflected that over the rest of the season, we could expect to gain a few more points in the games that are very close, unlucky or just one too many errors cost it.
I calculated our points to game ratio for the season so far, then adjusted our away game form so far to reflect what we could have reasonably expected to get from certain close games or where we made some weak error that cost us.
From there i re-calculated the points to game ratio - came out at 2.0 overall ( same as Arsenal at the moment )

Projecting what that slight improvement would return purely statistically for the rest of our 14 games and we would emerge with 76 points at the end of the season. That would put us level with Arsenal on points at the end of the season ( assuming they carry on exactly as they have been ) only GD would separate us.
As comparison Scouce if they carried on the same for their 12 remaining would be way off with just 64 points.


Here is a list of away games that were very close,
if just one of the losses and one of the draws we had not allowed to happen, it would have gained us an extra 4 points over the 24 played so far.

20 September 2009 Manchester United 3 - 3 slightly more concentration and this would have been the result
21 November 2009 Liverpool 1 - 2 they were fortunate there
12 December 2009 Bolton Wanderers 2 - 3 again only slighty more concentration for this one.
06 February 2010 Hull City 2 - 2 close to grabbing a point in reality
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Re: Hysteria - our results in perspective

Postby dikdik » Thu Feb 11, 2010 11:48 pm

Lies damn lies and statistics...
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Re: Hysteria - our results in perspective

Postby Ted Hughes » Fri Feb 12, 2010 12:26 am

BobKowalski wrote:
Ted Hughes wrote:
BobKowalski wrote:
Ted Hughes wrote:
BobKowalski wrote:
Sometimes I think City should just stick to British managers ala Hughes or Moyes. We would never win much save the odd cup but at least they 'get stuck in' and 'have a go' and they (usually) pick players in their proper positons :)


Or other british no marks like Ferguson, Clough, Shankley, Mercer. Who wants them when we could have Italian managers who's record of success in this country is second to....oh hang on..


Well I would be all for appointing Clough, Shankly or Mercer.

Except that they are dead.

Your turn.


..and of course they would all have got top jobs if they were around today & not ended up in the 3rd division after being sacked by PL teams & replaced by people with more exotic names.


Probably :)

Clough was a genius. Won the title when he was what 36? Clough was probably the greatest manager who ever lived. Would have been the greatest in any era. Mourinho runs him close mind.


Not sure any of them would get the opportunity to prove it these days. Not at top clubs, only 2nd tier & if you're not at a top club you don't win trophies & if you don't win stuff you don't get the chance to manage a top club. Catch 22. Hence foreigners who win stuff abroad getting the jobs.

No way would Gary Cook or David Gill etc have put Clough in charge under any circumstances anyway, too dangerous.

Moyes may get a shot at a top job but he'll be the last Brit to get one for some time I imagine.
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Re: Hysteria - our results in perspective

Postby BobKowalski » Fri Feb 12, 2010 2:32 pm

Ted Hughes wrote:
Not sure any of them would get the opportunity to prove it these days. Not at top clubs, only 2nd tier & if you're not at a top club you don't win trophies & if you don't win stuff you don't get the chance to manage a top club. Catch 22. Hence foreigners who win stuff abroad getting the jobs.

No way would Gary Cook or David Gill etc have put Clough in charge under any circumstances anyway, too dangerous.

Moyes may get a shot at a top job but he'll be the last Brit to get one for some time I imagine.


Maybe I'm a romantic but I like to think they would. Clough would have flourished even more in the 24/7 media age Shankly too although Joe being a more reserved character maybe not however with Allison at his side I think that would have been catered for.

My own view is that the lack of British managers at the top is down to the fact they aren't good enough and that the world game has left them behind. Keegan managed England and was painfully exposed at the highest level. Contrast with Sven who qualified comfortabley and found his level at the QF stage. McLaren also bombed but again a foreign coach Capello qualifies with relative ease although we have yet to see how fares in a major final

Moyes is unlikely to get a top job becuase he is not good enough. The derby with pool down to 10 men was a poor showing from Everton and Rafa was right when he poured derision over Moyes and his men. Beating a Chelsea once every decade is his level. I'll give Mclaren credit for going abroad as this is something all the top coaches should do. But no way do we have a Mourinho winning titles in three different countries or a Sven who did the same or even someone like Mancini who comes over here to learn the lingo and takes on a big job in a foreign country mid season and with the media on his back because of the way his predecessor was sacked. The only British manager I can see doing that is Hodgeson because he has done it before and MoN who has the balls even if he is a long ball merchant! And even when we did have a good English manager who could have managed a top team in Bobby Robson who took Newcastle to a 5th and 4th place finish what did Newcastle do? Sacked him for the biggest cock in football management Graeme fucking Souness, which every silly twat said was a good move and would restore 'discipline' to the dressing room and get the players 'fighting' for the shirt. Well what it got them was well and truly fucked. Stupid bastards.

British managers like goalkeepers used to be the best in the world. This stopped being true over a decade ago. Its a shame because I want England to have an English manager and much as I respect the job Capello has done its not quite the same with an Italian in charge.
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Re: Hysteria - our results in perspective

Postby Niall Quinns Discopants » Sat Feb 13, 2010 6:54 am

BobKowalski wrote:
Ted Hughes wrote:
Not sure any of them would get the opportunity to prove it these days. Not at top clubs, only 2nd tier & if you're not at a top club you don't win trophies & if you don't win stuff you don't get the chance to manage a top club. Catch 22. Hence foreigners who win stuff abroad getting the jobs.

No way would Gary Cook or David Gill etc have put Clough in charge under any circumstances anyway, too dangerous.

Moyes may get a shot at a top job but he'll be the last Brit to get one for some time I imagine.


Maybe I'm a romantic but I like to think they would. Clough would have flourished even more in the 24/7 media age Shankly too although Joe being a more reserved character maybe not however with Allison at his side I think that would have been catered for.

My own view is that the lack of British managers at the top is down to the fact they aren't good enough and that the world game has left them behind. Keegan managed England and was painfully exposed at the highest level. Contrast with Sven who qualified comfortabley and found his level at the QF stage. McLaren also bombed but again a foreign coach Capello qualifies with relative ease although we have yet to see how fares in a major final

Moyes is unlikely to get a top job becuase he is not good enough. The derby with pool down to 10 men was a poor showing from Everton and Rafa was right when he poured derision over Moyes and his men. Beating a Chelsea once every decade is his level. I'll give Mclaren credit for going abroad as this is something all the top coaches should do. But no way do we have a Mourinho winning titles in three different countries or a Sven who did the same or even someone like Mancini who comes over here to learn the lingo and takes on a big job in a foreign country mid season and with the media on his back because of the way his predecessor was sacked. The only British manager I can see doing that is Hodgeson because he has done it before and MoN who has the balls even if he is a long ball merchant! And even when we did have a good English manager who could have managed a top team in Bobby Robson who took Newcastle to a 5th and 4th place finish what did Newcastle do? Sacked him for the biggest cock in football management Graeme fucking Souness, which every silly twat said was a good move and would restore 'discipline' to the dressing room and get the players 'fighting' for the shirt. Well what it got them was well and truly fucked. Stupid bastards.

British managers like goalkeepers used to be the best in the world. This stopped being true over a decade ago. Its a shame because I want England to have an English manager and much as I respect the job Capello has done its not quite the same with an Italian in charge.


It's funny thing though, regarding Ted's post as well, the two English managers you mention there Hodgson and Sir Bobby both left England to manage elsewhere and to further their careers. I don't see what's stopping promising British managers leaving UK to further their careers especially if they feel their careers are stalling because of the whole top 4 thing.

Let's look at Moyes for example, he has been excellent manager for Everton (and for Preston before that). However for top 4 clubs (which I would include ourselves as well) the biggest question mark would be how'd he'd adapt to bigger surroundings and bigger name players and most importantly how'd he'd do in big European competitions, one of the key things for top 4 clubs. If he'd take the chance and go elsewhere and indeed prove his credentials I'm sure he'd be hottest property around.

For what it's worth, I also agree about Clough and Shankly who wer without a question some of the best managers in the world at the time and they would've rise to the top no matter what. Like you said, Clough would've been even bigger star in modern game. Despite coming through as overly traditional (usually in jest as well) his sides actually played very modern football.

Regarding Sir Bobby's sacking in Newcastle and replacing him with biggest fucking cock in the game, Souey, it would've been absolute comedy gold if it wasn't actually really fookin sad.
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