zabbadabbado wrote:Been a lot of discussion on Footy forums about our recent slump in form. The major factor is injuries, or so many fans believe. Sure, it is a big part of the problem.
Personally, I think our slump is a little bit more complex than just injuries alone.
This will be controversial, but I think “Pep Ball” has become far too stale, and way too predictable.
Teams have finally found the right “Kryptonite” to defeat it.
They all sit deep with pacey players just waiting to pounce.
Quick counter attacking Football. I watched Liverpool expose Villa time after time to quick counter attacks. Counter attacking teams are doing well this season in the Premier League.
Waiting patiently for the right moments in a game. They let us fuck about with the Ball,pass,pass,pass,pass,to the back, to the side, rinse + repeat Pass,pass,pass. inevitably Rico Lewis(Usually 5 + times per game),or another player will lose the Ball with a shit pass, and they break at speed on us.
Our side is full of geriatrics only a couple of years from competing in walking football. Players cannot get back quick enough, easily being caught over exposed at the back, usually only 2 defenders are there, Boom 1 shot = 1 goal for the opposition,ten 2 shot = 2 goals,. We have conceded carbon copy,the same goals against us, literally time after time, game after game.
We simply no longer have the players to play Pep system. They are all way too old, and injury prone to get back quick enough. It is ridiculous that Pep cannot see the fucking obvious and come up with a Plan B. Shit transfer windows. And signing players who struggle keeping possession and recycling the Ball.Poor players in a supposed elite Team. This should never have happened, yet it has.
Pep has needed a Plan B to steady the Ship for a while,yet he seemingly does not have one. He simply keeps making the same mistake. Setting up the Team to play his way regardless. Why we get 45 minutes out of these players a game before they are all blowing out of their Arse.
If you have 11 technically gifted players,young,pacey,then Pep system is easy on the Eye.
If you have a Team full of players wrong side of 30,technically un-gifted,and not elite players,it is shit to watch. It is Franken Football. Pointlessly passing with no end product.Phases of pointless possession football before ending the phase by losing the Ball, or just lobbing it in to the Box hoping for the best from 4 man marked Haaland. It is boring tepid shit.Usually every cross is to a defender from the Wingers. Savinho actually looks up to see who is in the Box before 99% of the time crossing straight to a fucking defender.
Pep Ball is done for this team as it stands. We no longer have the players for it anymore. What we need to do right now is play to the team strengths until we either fix the problem with proper recruitment. By moving on all the 30 + players and the not fit for purpose second string players Plus Pep deciding he is “ Going or staying”. Another thing not helping this long-drawn-out saga. Either sign or move on now. No room for sentiment in Football. Sure we are all grateful for his achievements. Does not mean he takes a sabbatical this Season, and we end up finishing outside of European places because he earned it and we suffer 2 shit seasons.
PeterParker wrote:We are lacking a plan B.
zabbadabbado wrote:Been a lot of discussion on Footy forums about our recent slump in form. The major factor is injuries, or so many fans believe. Sure, it is a big part of the problem.
Personally, I think our slump is a little bit more complex than just injuries alone.
This will be controversial, but I think “Pep Ball” has become far too stale, and way too predictable.
Teams have finally found the right “Kryptonite” to defeat it.
They all sit deep with pacey players just waiting to pounce.
Quick counter attacking Football. I watched Liverpool expose Villa time after time to quick counter attacks. Counter attacking teams are doing well this season in the Premier League.
Waiting patiently for the right moments in a game. They let us fuck about with the Ball,pass,pass,pass,pass,to the back, to the side, rinse + repeat Pass,pass,pass. inevitably Rico Lewis(Usually 5 + times per game),or another player will lose the Ball with a shit pass, and they break at speed on us.
Our side is full of geriatrics only a couple of years from competing in walking football. Players cannot get back quick enough, easily being caught over exposed at the back, usually only 2 defenders are there, Boom 1 shot = 1 goal for the opposition,ten 2 shot = 2 goals,. We have conceded carbon copy,the same goals against us, literally time after time, game after game.
We simply no longer have the players to play Pep system. They are all way too old, and injury prone to get back quick enough. It is ridiculous that Pep cannot see the fucking obvious and come up with a Plan B. Shit transfer windows. And signing players who struggle keeping possession and recycling the Ball.Poor players in a supposed elite Team. This should never have happened, yet it has.
Pep has needed a Plan B to steady the Ship for a while,yet he seemingly does not have one. He simply keeps making the same mistake. Setting up the Team to play his way regardless. Why we get 45 minutes out of these players a game before they are all blowing out of their Arse.
If you have 11 technically gifted players,young,pacey,then Pep system is easy on the Eye.
If you have a Team full of players wrong side of 30,technically un-gifted,and not elite players,it is shit to watch. It is Franken Football. Pointlessly passing with no end product.Phases of pointless possession football before ending the phase by losing the Ball, or just lobbing it in to the Box hoping for the best from 4 man marked Haaland. It is boring tepid shit.Usually every cross is to a defender from the Wingers. Savinho actually looks up to see who is in the Box before 99% of the time crossing straight to a fucking defender.
Pep Ball is done for this team as it stands. We no longer have the players for it anymore. What we need to do right now is play to the team strengths until we either fix the problem with proper recruitment. By moving on all the 30 + players and the not fit for purpose second string players Plus Pep deciding he is “ Going or staying”. Another thing not helping this long-drawn-out saga. Either sign or move on now. No room for sentiment in Football. Sure we are all grateful for his achievements. Does not mean he takes a sabbatical this Season, and we end up finishing outside of European places because he earned it and we suffer 2 shit seasons.
stupot wrote:You keep saying about this drop off the last 2 seasons and it's simply not true.
Treble season we won the league with 89 points - scored 94, conceded 33.
Last season we won the league with 91 points - scored 96, conceded 34. It was also remarkable that we kept that consistency after the treble and being on for another one until April. There's a reason why 4 in a row hadn't been done in history until last season.. It was also done with Kev out half the season and Erling for 2 months.
The drop off is purely this season. We're struggling big time without Rodri. The 3 games we lost last season were 3 of the 4 that he missed.
There's something strange happening for sure with people like Grealish - there were rumours about Cancelo a couple of years ago and he was farmed out in the Jan. Hopefully there'll be some decent incomings in Jan to compensate.
blues2win wrote:Not sure Villa can afford him. Not just what fee City would want but his wages.
nottsblue wrote:blues2win wrote:Not sure Villa can afford him. Not just what fee City would want but his wages.
Swap him for Watkins
Nigels Tackle wrote:first halves v lisbon and brighton were pretty decent
should have been comfortably ahead in both games
Nigels Tackle wrote:first halves v lisbon and brighton were pretty decent
should have been comfortably ahead in both games
Im_Spartacus wrote:If you go into the data on xGOT, this season is simply a continuation of a decline we saw last year which fundamentally brings into question how we play. Because we either have to fix this issue or change how we play.
I've always felt under Guardiola that while we didn't particularly concede many, the goals we did concede have always been way too soft, with the quality of chance the opposition seemed to get always being gilt edged leading to the odd team handing our arses to us. Essentially, we need 10 chances to score 1, the opposition seemed able to score 1 in 3 chances, because of how badly the defence shit the bed. It's rarely been bad goalkeeping from Ederson, more often than not the chances the opposition gets are literaly on a plate.
Our defence has always been pretty awful in that regard, so the priority seems to have always been about maintaining possession and reducing the number of times the opposition get those chances, and we would always have enough firepower to score more than them! But that approach unravels when the xGOT this season so far is 50% worse than last year, and 100% worse than our best defensive year in 2018, so this isn't about Rodri, it's a year on year decline.
What I find to be incredibly interesting stats:
* We have conceded 31% of all goals in the first 10 minutes
* We haven't yet scored a single goal between 50-80 minutes,
* But 31% of all goals scored have come after 80 minutes.
What does this mean?
For me the timing of when we've conceded and scores, tells me the intensity isn't there - we're not upto the pace of the game at the start, and although we seem to get caught cold at the start for the first half and thus maybe regain some of that intensity to peg it back fairly quickly, we also then lack intensity in the majority of the 2nd half too but aren't getting caught quite so cold defensively. But it seems we're trying to play ourselves into games in both halves and perhaps only do better in the first half because we shit the bed and concede and need a wake up call, but for most of the 2nd half in games we just pass the thing around trying to send the opposition to sleep - and it's fucking wank to watch also.
We've been lucky all season not to have a team do what Brighton did and pick our pockets due to this lack of intensity through the 2nd half. Is it terminal....I don't think so.
While we have Rodri out, Kev has been out for 10 games while Foden, Silva and Gundo have been in shocking form - to have your entire spine of the midfield either injured or bang out of form is really unusual, and it's so bad at the moment we have to believe form will return for those guys and this period will pass.
What does worry me is the role of Rico Lewis. While outwardly he looks a tidy player, his defensive statistics vs both fullbacks and midfielders are absolutely appalling - given our game is based on turnover, he's at the 14th percentile for both midfielders and full backs for interceptions, and 22nd percentile for tackles. Wheras Alexander Arnold, criticised for his defensive play AND not moving into CM in the same way, is in the 73rd percentile for interceptions and 59th percentile for tackles.
I'm far from convinced that Lewis is the right player for City at the moment, certainly not to have the level of responsibility he carries, and I can't help feeling that while it may not be obvious, a lot of the issues we're having centre on our reliance on him at the moment. It's not his fault by the way - he's exposed by the way Guardiola sets up.
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