ant london wrote:So basically if we say that the new TV revenue is 3.081billion over four years, that is just under GBP 75.5 million per year overall (these are US billions by the way my american friends, not our traditional version...ie a thousand million not a million million).

The traditional split of the PL cash between the clubs is on a 50:25:25 basis which means
50% is on a straight split between the 20 clubs (ie. each club would get 75.5million divided by 2 (377.2m) then divided by 20 which brings that portion of revenue under the new deal to 18.9m per club.
The other two components of 25% of the overall and the final 25% of the overall total is split on the basis of "merit" (ie finishing position) for the first 25% and then "facility fee" (which is basically factored on how many times you have been broadcast in some way or another).
If we take the 2010-2011 PL figures and use United as a parameter as they came in first place then the effect on income for us would, proportionately be:
United got 9.52% of the overall "merit" payment for coming first. So that would mean (if we came top in 2013-2014) we would generate 9.52% x 192.6 million = 18.3 million
United then also got 8.52% of the "facility fee" (ie. apart from Liverpool who got 7.6%) they were the most screened side. Again if we replicated this proportion we would get 8.52% x 192.6 million = 16.4 million
Overall that would bring us 18.9 + 18.3 + 16.4 = 53.6 million in domestic TV revenue. If we then assume that the same overseas deal remained in place that would add another 17.9 million per year and total TV revenue would be 71.5 million
In FY 2011 our reported numbers were a loss of 197 million
That did not take account of lots of new commercial deals such as the Etihad campus and sponsorship nor will it take account of the new Nike deal. However, our TV revenue in FY2011 was 55.5 million. So, even if we matched United's TV revenue proportions under the new deal (essentially if we are champions next season and then again most likely) we would only add an extra 16 million to our TV revenues (ie. reduce the 197 million loss by 16 million).
So, in overview, no this new TV deal won't take care of FFP for us!! In reality domestic TV revenue for first place under that deal would go up about 30% so we could expect the 17.9 million of annual overseas TV revenue would likely increase to around 23.3 million which is another 5.4 million to add to the 16 million loss reduction but still not a game changer.
Obviously I'd expect our loss to organically reduce in 2012/2013/2014 in any event due to several factors (reduced spend on new players so a reduced amortisation charge each year, more controlled spend on agents fees and a gradual shedding of "excess" payroll costs on the likes of Adebayor, Santa Cruz, Bridge etc etc....(if we assume someone like Ade is on 150k a week that is almost 8 million quid a year)...getting rid of that lot really will help).
All in all I can see how we are on track to comply with FFP but this new TV deal is in no way a panacea for those concerns